Eastern Europe & Caucasus

Bottom line

The war in Ukraine sets the security climate across the region. EU and NATO members face hybrid pressure — GPS jamming, sabotage and interference with infrastructure — managed at state level and rarely constraining ordinary operations. In the Western Balkans and the South Caucasus the constraints are localised: specific districts, boundary lines and border strips, not whole countries.

22Countries assessed

Spread across the six levels

4At 3 or above

Where a precaution changes the outcome

Our record
60+Clients supported
85+Projects delivered
24/7Emergency support
Operational RiskFULCRUM

Country-level profile follows once the regional assessment is on the same weekly cycle as Ukraine.

Operational risk by country

Regions of operation

Coverage
UkraineEastern Europe & CaucasusMiddle East & GulfCentral Asia

Highest operational risk

4 at 3+
MinimalExtreme
UkraineExtreme
AzerbaijanModerate
Bosnia and HerzegovinaModerate
GeorgiaModerate
AlbaniaLow
ArmeniaLow
BulgariaLow
EstoniaLow
KosovoLow
LatviaLow
LithuaniaLow
MoldovaLow
North MacedoniaLow
PolandLow
RomaniaLow
SerbiaLow
SlovakiaLow

Scored separately

4 territories
Territory outside effective government control is scored on its own and never blended into the country around it.
Russian-occupied Ukrainian territoryExtreme
Transnistria (Moldova, breakaway region)High
Abkhazia / South Ossetia (Georgia, Russian-occupied)High
Northern Kosovo (Serb-majority municipalities)Substantial

What we deliver

All 4, as one programme
01Security planning & programs02Travel security03Intelligence support04Training

Every axis on this page is somebody’s decision — whether the office opens, whether the convoy runs, when work stops and who answers at three in the morning — and that is the work: we turn this month’s operational risk into the thresholds, plans and cover your people rely on, and we stay on the line when they need them.

Contact usEvery enquiry reviewed personally
reply within 24 hours